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UK 20204 GENERAL ELECTION - A PREDICTION ABOUT POSTAL VOTES

Before you read on ask yourself how many of the people you know will have voted by postal vote.

  • 5%?

  • 10%

  • 15%?

  • 20%?

  • 25%

  • 30%


I have asked this question of many people since 2017 when I became interested and most say 5% or 1 in 20.


I will dive in head first.

The prediction is simple.

The result of the UK general election (a landslide win of labour) will be announced tomorrow on the 5th of July alongside the highest rate of postal votes to date.

The labour win is of little interest, since to coin a well-known axiom, the left and right-wing, they both belong to the same beast.





The interest is the postal votes.


After watching the surprise defeat of the people's favourite Corbyn in 2017, I looked at the numbers of postal votes and was shocked.

They have been rising election by election and seem an easy back door.


I was so sure of postal votes as being the root of UK voting fraud that I bet friends in the USA that the people's favourite Trump too would suffer defeat via postal ballot fraud.


Not so long after the elections, this seemed to be confirmed by the superb documentary 2000 Mules. The film by Dinesh Souza was a shocking, disturbing exposé of a Democrat, leftist campaign to get Joe Biden illegitimately elected as President. At the very least, it proved that a full investigation of the ballot trafficking mules, including the sources of their illegal ballots, should have occurred.

You can watch the trailer and find out how to watch the full film 2000 Mules here:



UK 2024 Elections


Postal votes on the increase


YEAR

VOTES

POSTAL VOTES

% POSTAL VOTES


SPOILT BALLOTS

SOURCE

2024

?

?

?

?



2019

32m

8.2m

25.6%

1 in 4


2017

32.2m

8.4m

26%

1 in 4


2015

30.7m

7.6m

24%


0.2%

2010


6.9m

18.8%

1 in 5


2005


5.4m

12.7%



2001


1.76m

4.9%



1997


937k

2.3%




Some areas have a wildly high postal vote ratio and some lower as we can see here in these stats from 2010.

Why?

Are they swing constituencies?

I think this needs a close watch.


Some areas have a wildly high postal vote ratio and some lower as we can see here in these stats from 2010.

Why?

Are they swing constituencies?

I think this needs a close watch.


Sadly, I think the idea that the UK has a robust voting system, and is a world leader in fair democratic elections, may be as idealistic as continuing to believe that the BBC is the ultimate benchmark for unbiased broadcasting.


What do you think?

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UPDATE 5th JULY

Found this article from 3rd July


General Election 2024: Can I still vote if my postal ballot has not arrived?

Delays to postal vote deliveries have sparked concern over whether some voters will be able to cast a ballot in Thursday's election.


More than 90 constituencies have raised concerns about ballots failing to arrive, according to The Telegraph, with the majority of issues concentrated in Scotland.


The poll is taking place in the first week of the school holidays north of the border, with a higher than usual number of people expected to vote ahead of time.


Number 10 said the government is aware of some issues around the printing and delivery of postal ballot packs in some local areas and is working to help resolve them.


Royal Mail has since said there is "no backlog" to postal votes and that the service remains "confident" that postal votes handed in on time will be delivered prior to polling day.

Completed postal votes must have reached councils by 10pm on July 4.


Here, ITV News explains what your options are if you have not yet received your postal voting package and what is causing the delays.


Can you still vote if your postal ballot has not arrived?


The Electoral Commission is advising anyone who has not received their postal ballot pack to "request a replacement from their local authority".

A replacement can be sent by post up until 5pm on Wednesday July 3, and voters can authorise someone to collect it on their behalf.

If a replacement has not arrived, voters should contact the electoral services team at a their local council up to 5pm on polling day to seek guidance.

If voters are concerned about returning their ballot by post, it is possible to hand deliver the voting pack to their polling station on polling day.


But, the government has said Royal Mail will also be conducting sweeps of their delivery system on polling day to make sure any ballot packs still in the postal system are identified and passed to returning officers ahead of polls closing.

Voters can also ask someone to hand their ballot pack in on their behalf.


An individual can hand in a maximum of five postal ballots in addition to their own, and will be required to complete a form at the polling station when doing so.


Will this affect the outcome of the election?

"Broadly, no," Vijay Rangarajan, chief executive of the Electoral Commission, said.

"We'll have to see what develops over the next couple of days, but we think out of everyone who applied for a postal vote, almost everyone has now got one.


"I think voters can be pretty confident the outcome of this election will reflect their views, and that after all is the core part of our democratic process."


What are party leaders saying about the delays?


Sir Keir Starmer said minister Kevin Hollinrake should call an emergency meeting with Royal Mail about problems with postal ballots.

The Labour leader told reporters on Tuesday: “They need to sort it out and get on with sorting it out because what you can’t have is people who are entitled to a vote not being able to exercise it.

He added: “If the Post Office minister hasn’t met them, do it now in the next hour or two.“Seriously, we are running out of time, it’s not something we can do tomorrow.”


On Monday, the prime minister’s official spokesman said Rishi Sunak is not concerned that some people could be disenfranchised by the issues.

“We’re working closely with the Electoral Commission, returning officers, Royal Mail and the print suppliers to support the resolution of these issues,” he told journalists.


It comes after Scotland’s First Minister John Swinney warned some Scots could be “disenfranchised” if their postal votes cannot be filled out and returned on time.



What do you think?

Smell a rat?

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